Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Christmas, betting and a wrap of the 2011 fantasy season

'Tis the season, as they say, and I'm happy to be enjoying it with my family and friends. Since returning from the UK I haven't yet had the chance to catch up with all of my friends, but I will get to that over the next eight to ten days.

Christmas was a low key affair, which is just the way I like it. No superfluous trinkets or over-the-top celebrations; just family and friends in close quarters having a good time. It is how it should be. Candlelit dinner was fantastic and I give all the kudos to my parents, who cooked a tempting spread of goodies.

Now, time for some life updates (brought to you byyyyy....)

I bet you...

I was on Facebook chat last week with a friend of mine. During the course of our conversation, the idea of betting on the spreads of NFL games came up. This friend of mine has an account on a betting website and often does what are known as accumulator bets on the games. The idea behind it is simple - pick the winners of a few games, adding the odds together and put on a fiver. The rewards one can reap are significant.

So I decided I'd give it a lash. Last week I placed a (far too optimistic) bet on fifteen of the NFL games. In other words, I went for glory. I have no regrets, but I feel that this week I am in a better position and instead of opting for the "home run", to coin a baseball phrase, I am instead going to be prudent in my approach and handpick four or five games. In fact, the friend I just mentioned in the previous paragraph will be coming over for the games, so we'll be able to keep a close eye on our bets as it all transpires. I'm really looking forward to it.

I enjoy the unpredictability of betting and the sheer thrill of it all. Pulling for a particular outcome in the hopes that maybe, just maybe, you'll strike gold and find that pot at the end of the rainbow. It is fun, exciting and filled with promise in the form of potential rewards.

My kind of town

I will have some money coming in soon and with it I am hoping to book a trip to see my beloved Carolina Panthers play the Chicago Bears in Chicago, IL, next season. The schedule is released in early April normally, so I will likely book it then to ensure good seats and a decent price. I'm really excited about it because my dad may be accompanying me. I would go alone if I had to, but I'd like to share it with someone.

Right now it's just an idea, but hopefully if I have a job by then I'll be able to partly fund it with that.

Fantasy Football Talk

Tune out now, all ye who are not fans of the greatest game on earth.

I've lost you all, haven't I? Well, for anyone who cares, here is the final update on my dynasty fantasy football teams and a little preview of what is to come in 2012.

Record: 5-9

It's the league that I just haven't been able to get over the top in. I'm confident that I can change that in 2012 though. There are many reasons for my optimism:

  • A young roster that has been infused recently with talents like Denarius Moore and Percy Harvin
  • Two first round picks in the upcoming rookie draft, both of which will be in the top 6
  • Lost close games this season (3 games decided by 6 points or less) and finished in mid-table in terms of points scored
  • Defeated the league champion, Oldguru, in Week 12
I've slowly but surely shaped this team into a form I think can be a perennial playoff contender. The two first round picks should turn into instant starters. As for the projected starting lineup in 2012:

QB - Matt Ryan
RB - Marshawn Lynch
RB - No. 1 pick
WR - Larry Fitzgerald
WR - Percy Harvin
WR - Denarius Moore
WR - Demaryius Thomas
TE - Jermaine Gresham

There is still plenty of work to be done, notably at the running back position. Overall, I like the direction of the team and once the depth can be enhanced I think I can compete for a playoff spot.

Team Name: The Wet Bandits
Record: 10-2

Oh, what could have been! Everything looked rosy in this league until the final few weeks of the season. I was 10-2 going into the playoffs with a real chance at repeating as champion, until Matt Forte had to go and get injured. My RB depth beyond him was poor and I blame myself for that. I have young backs behind him (Shane Vereen, Taiwan Jones, Dion Lewis) but not enough veteran depth. Donald Brown gave me a fighting chance but he is no more than a RB3 on a good day. Add to that the fact that Jahvid Best went on IR earlier in the season and I found myself in a really tough spot.

Prior to the injury, Forte had been a 15 point player every week. Afterwards, I struggled to put together a backfield. That's why my offseason priority is getting better at RB.

The playoffs are now over and I leave this season humbled and hungry for more next year, with a return to championship glory on my mind. The team is set up to succeed for the next few years and I have confidence in my ability to pick the right players in the veteran and rookie drafts. I have to congratulate the champion Jaz, who simply whooped the competition on the way to a 9-0 postseason run in the round robin stage. I managed 8-1 last year, but 9-0 is impressive.

The projected starting line-up for 2012 is as follows, although decisions on cutting players and free agent acquisitions will change this:

QB Drew Brees
RB Matt Forte
RB ?
WR Steve Smith
WR Michael Crabtree
WR Antonio Brown
TE Jimmy Graham
TE Jason Witten
DE Justin Tuck (hope he returns to his former self)
DE Charles Johnson
DT ?
LB Navorro Bowman
LB Stephen Tulloch
LB Lance Briggs
LB ?

And we all know DB is something of a crapshoot...

League: FX3 IDP
Record: 10-3 (league champion)

I nervously checked my MFL app on my iPod Touch yesterday to find out the result of the championship game and I was overjoyed to find out that I had won the league. It is my only championship of the season, but it is a good one to win. I put up 223 points, enough to beat the highest scoring team in the league by 20 points or so. Aaron Rodgers' display on SNF - 5 TD passes - really helped my cause, but it was a team effort.

I feel really good about this league going forward. Thanks to a trade I made in the initial draft, I have the 1.03 pick in the rookie draft, meaning either Blackmon/Luck/Richardson will fall into my lap. I also have the 1.12, so I may trade up to 1.01 or make a trade for next year. At any rate, I'm thrilled with the win. It's not a money league, but it feels so gooooooood.

Projected starting lineup: I'm the champ! I don't need to worry about that kind of thing. :)

League: DG IDP
Record: 12-1 (lost to eventual champion in playoffs by 0.4 pts, finished 3rd)

This one is going to sting for a while. Despite having the best record and scoring the most points by over 400 points, I failed to come up with the championship. It was my second playoff appearance in as many years and I just couldn't finish the job. Losing the semi-final by 0.4 pts was a heartbreaker, as Aldon Smith just couldn't come up with that extra assist or pass defensed to put me over the top.

On the bright side, my team is still intact with 'win now' players and I should be competing for the division title again next season. The league is going to be downsized a little bit, which I am all for. I think some of the teams have become too lackadaisical. Offseason needs include RB depth and DE depth.

Make no mistake - Puntzilla will be back stronger next year!

~ FIN ~

Friday, December 23, 2011

NFL storylines, life update, it's not THAT cold...

Chilly on the willy

If you take a stroll on the streets of Dublin today, you're in for a big surprise.

And before you jump the gun, it is not a teddy bear's picnic I refer to.

No, it is the absence of the gripping cold that crushed men's testicles like an ice claw last year. Everyone remembers that winter. 'The Big Freeze', survivors called it. As a survivor of the winter of unending snow flurries and countless days of nothingness, I prefer the term 'Frostomania'. It has that wrestling connotation to it, which is in keeping with the struggle we all had to endure.

Fast forward to the present and things could not be more different (channeling my inner Chandler Bing). Temperatures are toasty compared to 2010 and I'm quite pleased about that. Not chuffed by any means (as I hear a voice screaming outside my house in the distance - strange...), but pleased. I am, after all, only home for a few weeks as I am on my Christmas break from my masters studies in sports journalism in Lincoln, UK.

I am not going to lie - having those home comforts back has been refreshing. Dishwashers, double beds and family to name but a few (not necessarily in that order). Let's hope my immediate family don't read this.

The unfortunate thing is that I, along with my other journalism classmates, will be bogged down with work all throughout the break. Instead of cosy lounging by the open fire, I'll be reading about contempt of court and court reporting. It could be worse, I suppose. If there's one thing my three months of law study have taught me, it's that you have to know the law. Otherwise you'll fall at its feet like a fallen soldier begging for mercy from a more powerful adversary.

Pro Football

This season has been an absolute treat. Far away and in the distant past are memories of the one hundred-plus day lockout, replaced by well above average football games on a week to week basis. Despite reservations in the pre-season about a drop-off in the quality of the product, it has been one of the more memorable seasons for quite a while.

What it has offered is a number of storylines that fans have been able to sink their teeth into. Here are a few examples:

Tim Tebow

Two words that, when uttered, cause a certain pocket of fans to shudder to their very core. Two words that, when spoken in media circles, polarise opinions as much as any current player can. Two words that, when announcers say them, are usually accompanied by the words 'touchdown', 'God' or 'throwing motion'.
To an extent, I've had about enough of this Tebow thing. Then again, you can't help but be impressed by how he has revived this team that looked to be on life support under Kyle Orton's stewardship. The Broncos should be able to make the playoffs but they need to add some pieces to be a real contender in my opinion, notably depth at RB, DL depth and OL (if they want to build around a downhill rushing attack).

Aaron Rodgers and the near perfect season


The season that Aaron Rodgers is having cannot be described adequately by the English language, nor any language that exists. If you have watched him play this year, you know that you are witnessing one of the all-time great quarterbacks ply his trade. All I want to say is that it has been an absolute pleasure to watch him and I hope it lasts for many, many more years.
As for the chance this team has at the Super Bowl, it's a good one. I expect them to finish strong, be the #1 seed and probably face New Orleans or San Francisco. Both of those teams could give the Pack a run for their money, but I think we'll see the Cheeseheads representing the NFC in the Super Bowl.

Houston makes the playoffs... and it's about damn time!


That Houston made the playoffs is an achievement in itself, but to consider that they could be a top seed is - oh wait, they just lost to the Colts last night. That puts a spanner in the works! Be that as it may, the Texans are set up for success in the future. Additions like J.J. Watt, Brooks Reed and Johnathan Joseph have been tremendous and this aggressive defense has the personnel to be disruptive for a long time.

T.J. Yates' deficiencies are being exposed, but he is very competent throwing on the run and as long as Foster/Tate are humming as a tandem, he should be fine and might even win a playoff game.

***

That will do it for this entry, folks. It's NFL Saturday tomorrow, the first time I've ever experienced that. I'm looking forward to a great line-up of games, notably the New York derby.

Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Fantasy Football: My Dynasties Regular Season End




With thirteen weeks in the books, the fantasy football regular season has come to an end in most leagues. 2011 has been a phenomenal year for me in fantasy football land. I have enjoyed unprecedented success as you will read below. In a word, it's been fun. Now it's time for the serious stuff - the playoffs.

SCHNOCKERED DYNASTY
TEAM RECORD: 5-9
TEAM NAME: The Sofa King Awesomes

MOOD: Upbeat

I've had a tough time in this league. In its third year, the team has not yet reached the heights I envision for it. That is disappointing, but I am feeling more confident for the future. A trade I made recently - my Fred Jackson for Percy Harvin and Denarius Moore - has turned out to be a good deal for me. Harvin has been on fire the past few weeks. Jackson's season ended wit

h an injury only a we
ek after the trade. Denarius Moore is only at the tip of his vast potential. I have two
early first round picks in the rookie draft to play around with as well, but I will be looking to finish strong in the so-called "consolation playoffs". Depending on who I draft with my two 1st round rookie picks, I may go all out to win the title next year.

Top scorer: Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta

Letdown player: Mark Ingram, RB, New Orlean
s

BLACK AND BLUE IDP DYNASTY
TEAM RECORD: 10-2
TEAM NAME: The Wet Bandits
MOOD: GOOD

In my second season in B+B - and as the current champion - I have accomplished what I set out to do in preseason and that is to make the playoffs. I have a ticket to the dance, the number one seed, no less. An injury to Matt Forte may hurt my chances significantly as my RB depth is not good at all. I may have to start Donald Brown and Maurice Morris in the playoffs. I am hoping that the rest of my team can prop me up, but it may be hard to reach the necessary points totals to get the title this year. I'm going to give it all I've got, of course.

Top scorer: Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans (375 points - 30 TD/11 INT)

Letdown player: Jahvid Best, RB, Detroit

FX3 IDP LEAGUE
TEAM RECORD: 10-3
TEAM NAME: John Coffey's Miracles

MOOD: Good

This is the first year in this league, a dynasty le
ague with shallower rosters, and I've enjoyed it. I finished on a six game winning streak after a so-so start. I enter the playoffs as the number two seed with a good chance to win the whole thing. There's no money on the line in this one, but I hope to get the championship in the inaugural season.

Top scorer: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay

Letdown player: Sidney Rice, WR, Seattle

DYNASTYGUYS IDP LEAGUE
TEAM RECORD: 12-1
TEAM NAME: PUNTZILLA'S BARNSTORMERS
MOOD: Excellent

This league has been awesome for me this year. I was hoping to complete a perfect regular season but my chances came undone near the end. No matter! I am the #1 seed and I have a heck of a chance to win the whole thing. I've scored bucket loads of points - 3839 to be precise - and have blown out many opponents. The loss of Matt Forte is a concern, but I have the cover to help me out. My first game of the playoffs is against the Dalton Demons, the #8 seed and a team with a 6-7 record. On paper I should win this, but it's no certainty. Last year I lost the eventual champion in the playoffs. This year, I plan to win it all.

Top scorer: Jared Allen, DE, Minnesota (299 points)

Letdown player: Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona

***

That will do it until next week when I will give you an update on my progress (hopefully) in the playoffs.